This is a short list of the most relevant papers reviewed to develop
the forecasting scheme for the Indian rainfall case.

  • Webster, P. J. and C. Hoyos, 2004: Forecasting monsoon variability on 20-25 day time scales. To appear in Bull. Amer. Meteor. Soc. (get .pdf)
  • Lawrence, David M., Webster, Peter J. 2002: The Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation: Relationship between Northward and Eastward Movement of Convection. Journal of the Atmospheric Sciences: Vol. 59, No. 9, pp. 1593–1606.
  • Lawrence, David M., Webster, Peter J. 2001: Interannual Variations of the Intraseasonal Oscillation in the South Asian Summer Monsoon Region. Journal of Climate: Vol. 14, No. 13, pp. 2910–2922.
  • Han, W., D. M. Lawrence, y P. J. Webster, 2001: Dynamical response of equatorial Indian Ocean to intraseasonal winds: zonal winds. Geophys. Res. Let., 28, 4215-4218.
  • Torrence, Christopher, Compo, Gilbert P. 1998: A Practical Guide to Wavelet Analysis. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society: Vol. 79, No. 1, pp. 61–78.
  • Webster, P. J., T. Palmer, M. Yanai, R. Tomas, V. Magana, J. Shukla and A. Yasunari, 1998: Monsoons: Processes, Predictability and the prospects for prediction. J. Geophys. Res., 103 (TOGA special issue),14451-14510.
  • Webster, P. J., y L. C. Chou, 1980: Low-Frequency Transitions of a Simple Monsoon System. J. Atmos. Sci., 37, 368-382.
  • Webster, P. J., 1983: Mechanisms of monsoon low-frequency variability: Surface hydrological effects. J. Atmos. Sci., 40, 2110-2124.

    Others...

  • Annamalai, H., y J. M. Slingo, 2001: Active/Break Cycles: Diagnosis of the Intraseasonal Variability of the Asian Summer Monsoon. Clim. Dyn., 18, 85-102.
  • Hartmann, D. L., y M. L. Michelsen, 1989: Intraseasonal periodicities in Indian rainfall. J. Atmos. Sci., 46, 2838-2862.
  • Hastenrath, S., 1987: On the prediction of Indian monsoon rainfall anomalies. J. Clim. App. Meteor., 26, 847-857.
  • Hastenrath, S., 1988: Prediction of Indian monsoon rainfall: Further exploration. J. Climate, 1, 298-304.
  • Hendon, H. H., y M. L. Salby, 1994: Life cycle of the the Madden Julian oscillation. J. Atmos. Sci., 51, 2225-2237.
  • Knutson, T. R., y K. M. Weickmann, 1987: 30-60 day atmospheric oscillations: Composite life cycles of convection and circulation anomalies, Mon. Wea. Rev., 115, 1407-1436.
  • Lau, K. M., y P. H. Chan, 1986: Aspects of the 40-50 day oscillation during the Northern Summer as inferred from outgoing longwave radiation. Mon. Wea. Rev., 114, 1354-1367.
  • Lo, F., y H. H. Hendon, 2000: Empirical extended-range prediction of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. Mon. Wea. Rev. 128, 2528-2543.
  • Madden, R. A., y P. R. Julian, 1994: Observations of the 40-50 day tropical oscillation: A review. Mon. Weather Rev., 122, 813-837.
  • Mo, K. C., 2001: Adaptive filtering and prediction of intraseasonal oscillations. Mon. Weather Rev. 129, 802-817.
  • Sengupta, D., y M. Ravichandran, 2001: Oscillations of Bay of Bengal sea surface temperature during the 1998 summer monsoon. Geophys. Res. Let., 28, 10, 2033-2036.
  • Sikka, D. y S. Gadgil, 1980: On the maximum cloud zone and the ITCZ over Indian longitudes during the southwest monsoon. Mon. Wea. Rev., 108, 1840-1853.
  • Waliser, D. E., C. Jones, J. E. Schemm, y N. E. Graham, 1999: A statistical extended-range tropical forecast model based on the slow evolution of the Madden-Julian Oscillation. J. Climate, 12, 1918-1939.
  • Wang, B., y X. Xie, 1997: A model for the Boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation. J. Atmos. Sci., 54, 72-86.
  • Woolnough, S. J., J. M. Slingo, y B. J. Hoskins, 2000: The relationship between convection and sea surface temperature on intraseasonal timescales. J. Climate, 13, 2086-2104.
  • Yasunari, T., 1979: Cloudiness fluctuations associated with the Northern Hemisphere summer monsoon. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 57, 227-242.
  • Yasunari, T., 1981: Structure of an Indian summer monsoon system with around 40-day period. J. Meteor. Soc. Japan, 59, 336-354.